Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-03-27 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

MIN: 50.3%

SEA: 49.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.25

SEA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	36	35	1	97.2%	3.73	3	2.73
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	20	15	5	75.0%	2.22	1	-2.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • MIN at home vs SEA: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MIN 5 - 2 SEA	MIN	MIN
2026-01-08	SEA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-08	SEA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA
2025-03-19	MIN 4 - 0 SEA	MIN	MIN
2025-03-04	SEA 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	8	0	0.39
1	SEA	16	2	1.52
2	MIN	11	0	0.67
2	SEA	16	1	1.15
3	MIN	12	1	1.16
3	SEA	17	0	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1