Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-03-28 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 5 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 47.9%

VAN: 52.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.90

VAN: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	37	32	5	86.5%	3.90	1	-1.10
VAN	Thatcher Demko	31	25	6	80.6%	2.71	0	-3.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • STL at home vs VAN: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	21	0	1.14
1	VAN	19	0	1.07
2	STL	12	0	0.79
2	VAN	20	0	1.33
3	STL	8	0	0.65
3	VAN	19	1	1.49
4	STL	1	0	0.14
4	VAN	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4