Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2023-03-29 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

COL: 46.8%

MIN: 53.2%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.13

MIN: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	29	25	4	86.2%	2.73	2	-1.27
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	44	42	2	95.5%	3.58	0	1.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs MIN: 9-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	16	0	0.92
1	MIN	14	1	0.99
2	COL	21	0	1.04
2	MIN	16	0	1.01
3	COL	26	0	1.61
3	MIN	4	1	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3