Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2023-03-30 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 0 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

PIT: 72.2%

NSH: 27.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.68

NSH: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Tristan Jarry	28	28	0	100.0%	2.07	0	2.07
NSH	Juuse Saros	45	43	2	95.6%	4.52	2	2.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PIT at home vs NSH: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-16	PIT 4 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-14	NSH 2 - 1 PIT	NSH	NSH
2025-02-01	PIT 3 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2024-12-19	NSH 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	NSH
2024-04-15	PIT 4 - 2 NSH	PIT	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	24	1	1.37
1	NSH	15	0	1.19
2	PIT	23	1	1.82
2	NSH	5	0	0.29
3	PIT	21	0	1.34
3	NSH	12	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7