St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-04-01 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

NSH: 50.1%

STL: 49.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.49

STL: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	22	21	1	95.5%	2.54	1	1.54
STL	T. Greiss	35	29	6	82.9%	2.84	0	-3.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NSH at home vs STL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	NSH
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	0	0.86
1	STL	7	0	0.29
2	NSH	13	0	1.17
2	STL	21	1	1.90
3	NSH	22	0	0.81
3	STL	6	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 6 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0