Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2023-04-01 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

MTL: 37.6%

CAR: 62.4%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.41

CAR: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	50	47	3	94.0%	2.87	0	-0.13
CAR	A. Raanta	14	14	0	100.0%	1.16	1	1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	8	1	0.41
1	CAR	21	0	0.61
2	MTL	7	0	0.50
2	CAR	28	0	1.72
3	MTL	4	0	0.25
3	CAR	15	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.4 - 2.9