Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2023-04-01 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

EDM: 74.2%

ANA: 25.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.16

ANA: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 55%

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Jack Campbell	36	36	0	100.0%	2.23	0	2.23
ANA	John Gibson	45	39	6	86.7%	5.33	2	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • EDM at home vs ANA: 10-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	EDM
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	13	0	0.94
1	ANA	19	0	1.30
2	EDM	28	2	2.93
2	ANA	9	0	0.38
3	EDM	15	0	1.46
3	ANA	12	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.2 - 2.7