Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2023-04-01 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

VGK: 55.1%

MIN: 44.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.35

MIN: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 52%

VGK

L. Brossoit

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Brossoit	30	29	1	96.7%	2.98	2	1.98
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	43	39	4	90.7%	4.63	3	0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • VGK at home vs MIN: 7-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	VGK
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	1	0.90
1	MIN	16	2	1.27
2	VGK	18	0	0.91
2	MIN	18	0	0.77
3	VGK	24	2	2.83
3	MIN	12	0	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7