New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-04-02 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

WPG: 58.5%

NJD: 41.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.98

NJD: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	32	31	1	96.9%	3.11	3	2.11
NJD	V. Vanecek	27	21	6	77.8%	2.72	2	-3.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • WPG at home vs NJD: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	NJD
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	1	1.31
1	NJD	16	1	0.95
2	WPG	10	1	0.92
2	NJD	17	0	0.88
3	WPG	9	0	0.49
3	NJD	15	2	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4