Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2023-04-03 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

DAL: 59.3%

NSH: 40.7%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.45

NSH: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

DAL

S. Wedgewood

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	S. Wedgewood	27	26	1	96.3%	1.75	0	0.75
NSH	Juuse Saros	26	21	5	80.8%	3.72	2	-1.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs NSH: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	NSH
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	1	1.38
1	NSH	11	0	0.31
2	DAL	12	0	0.98
2	NSH	12	0	0.66
3	DAL	13	1	1.36
3	NSH	11	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7