Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-04-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

LAK: 44.5%

EDM: 55.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.18

EDM: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	33	30	3	90.9%	3.44	1	0.44
EDM	Stuart Skinner	21	20	1	95.2%	2.42	0	1.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-12

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	7	0	0.37
1	EDM	5	0	0.32
2	LAK	14	0	1.47
2	EDM	20	0	1.77
3	LAK	9	0	0.58
3	EDM	19	1	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4