Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-04-04 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 59.8%

SEA: 40.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.31

SEA: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

VAN

C. Delia

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	C. Delia	28	23	5	82.1%	2.91	1	-2.09
SEA	M. Jones	18	16	2	88.9%	2.40	0	0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs SEA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	0	1.12
1	SEA	13	0	0.77
2	VAN	11	0	0.80
2	SEA	20	0	1.37
3	VAN	9	0	0.48
3	SEA	6	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1