Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-04-05 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

ANA: 41.6%

EDM: 58.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.49

EDM: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	33	30	3	90.9%	4.07	2	1.07
EDM	Jack Campbell	28	27	1	96.4%	2.16	1	1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • ANA at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-24	ANA 7 - 4 EDM	ANA	EDM
2026-04-22	EDM 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	12	0	0.43
1	EDM	13	0	1.17
2	ANA	14	0	0.98
2	EDM	16	0	1.21
3	ANA	12	1	0.75
3	EDM	15	2	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.5