New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2023-04-06 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 New York Rangers (OT)

Win Probability

STL: 58.6%

NYR: 41.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.90

NYR: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

NYR

J. Halak

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	24	22	2	91.7%	2.06	0	0.06
NYR	J. Halak	22	19	3	86.4%	2.48	1	-0.52

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs NYR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	STL
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	0	0.67
1	NYR	8	0	0.33
2	STL	8	0	0.47
2	NYR	15	0	1.02
3	STL	11	1	1.00
3	NYR	8	0	0.71
4	STL	3	0	0.34
4	NYR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4