Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2023-04-06 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

VAN: 62.0%

CHI: 38.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.41

CHI: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

CHI

A. Stalock

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	33	33	0	100.0%	2.66	0	2.66
CHI	A. Stalock	29	26	3	89.7%	2.81	2	-0.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • VAN at home vs CHI: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	CHI 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-11-05	VAN 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	VAN
2025-10-17	CHI 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	CHI
2025-03-15	VAN 6 - 2 CHI	VAN	VAN
2024-11-16	VAN 4 - 1 CHI	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	9	0	0.39
1	CHI	14	0	0.95
2	VAN	18	1	1.14
2	CHI	10	0	0.65
3	VAN	12	1	1.28
3	CHI	17	0	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9