St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2023-04-08 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

MIN: 55.1%

STL: 44.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.55

STL: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	40	37	3	92.5%	3.21	1	0.21
STL	Jordan Binnington	30	25	5	83.3%	4.13	6	-0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 46% • MIN at home vs STL: 4-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	STL 6 - 3 MIN	STL	STL
2026-03-01	MIN 1 - 3 STL	STL	MIN
2025-10-09	STL 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-03-15	MIN 1 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-07	MIN 6 - 4 STL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	3	1.25
1	STL	22	0	1.44
2	MIN	16	2	1.45
2	STL	12	1	0.63
3	MIN	15	1	1.44
3	STL	16	0	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8