Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2023-04-08 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

SJS: 36.2%

EDM: 63.8%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.59

EDM: 3.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

J. Reimer

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	35	29	6	82.9%	3.55	3	-2.45
EDM	Stuart Skinner	23	22	1	95.7%	2.13	0	1.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • SJS at home vs EDM: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.80
1	EDM	16	0	1.42
2	SJS	14	0	0.55
2	EDM	11	1	0.77
3	SJS	11	0	0.77
3	EDM	20	2	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 6 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.6 - 3.9