New Jersey Devils at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2023-04-08 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 43.5%

NJD: 56.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.71

NJD: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

BOS

L. Ullmark

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	30	29	1	96.7%	2.49	2	1.49
NJD	M. Blackwood	40	38	2	95.0%	3.44	0	1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs NJD: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	27	0	1.29
1	NJD	11	1	0.64
2	BOS	13	0	1.15
2	NJD	16	1	1.00
3	BOS	14	0	1.01
3	NJD	12	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.7 - 3.6