Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2023-04-08 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 51.1%

COL: 48.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.15

COL: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

LAK

Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Pheonix Copley	23	19	4	82.6%	3.07	1	-0.93
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	41	38	3	92.7%	4.66	3	1.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	25	0	1.42
1	COL	8	0	0.33
2	LAK	19	1	2.27
2	COL	16	0	0.82
3	LAK	10	2	0.97
3	COL	16	1	1.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2