San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2023-04-10 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

WPG: 59.7%

SJS: 40.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.34

SJS: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 51%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	21	19	2	90.5%	2.36	2	0.36
SJS	J. Reimer	33	27	6	81.8%	3.77	2	-2.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WPG at home vs SJS: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	27	2	1.94
1	SJS	6	0	0.44
2	WPG	14	0	0.80
2	SJS	15	2	1.19
3	WPG	14	0	1.03
3	SJS	15	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9