Dallas Stars at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2023-04-10 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 6 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

DET: 43.8%

DAL: 56.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.04

DAL: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	22	16	6	72.7%	1.95	1	-4.05
DAL	Jake Oettinger	20	19	1	95.0%	1.80	0	0.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • DET at home vs DAL: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	DAL 3 - 2 DET	DAL	DAL
2025-12-23	DET 4 - 3 DAL	DET	DET
2025-04-14	DET 6 - 4 DAL	DET	DET
2025-01-19	DAL 4 - 1 DET	DAL	DAL
2024-01-23	DET 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	10	0	0.62
1	DAL	12	1	0.68
2	DET	8	0	0.13
2	DAL	13	0	0.72
3	DET	12	0	1.06
3	DAL	12	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 6 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5