Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2023-04-11 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

Win Probability

PHI: 59.2%

CBJ: 40.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.29

CBJ: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 45%

PHI

C. Hart

CBJ

M. Hutchinson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	31	28	3	90.3%	2.44	1	-0.56
CBJ	M. Hutchinson	39	35	4	89.7%	3.60	3	-0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CBJ: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PHI 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-03-14	PHI 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-28	CBJ 5 - 3 PHI	CBJ	PHI
2025-04-15	PHI 0 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	PHI
2025-01-14	CBJ 3 - 2 PHI	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	22	2	1.40
1	CBJ	14	0	0.91
2	PHI	18	0	1.16
2	CBJ	9	0	0.27
3	PHI	10	0	0.64
3	CBJ	15	0	0.93
4	PHI	3	1	0.41
4	CBJ	3	1	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0