Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-04-11 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 51.6%

VAN: 48.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.88

VAN: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	36	33	3	91.7%	2.76	2	-0.24
VAN	Thatcher Demko	35	33	2	94.3%	2.97	1	0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • ANA at home vs VAN: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	13	0	0.74
1	VAN	17	2	1.27
2	ANA	16	1	1.30
2	VAN	14	0	0.68
3	ANA	16	0	0.93
3	VAN	19	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0