Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 48.7%

MIN: 51.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.94

MIN: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 47%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	24	21	3	87.5%	2.43	1	-0.57
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	31	27	4	87.1%	3.85	1	-0.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NSH at home vs MIN: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN
2025-01-18	NSH 6 - 2 MIN	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	1	1.69
1	MIN	7	0	0.42
2	NSH	15	0	1.00
2	MIN	10	1	1.06
3	NSH	11	0	0.90
3	MIN	18	0	0.89
4	NSH	2	0	0.26
4	MIN	1	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0