St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 1 - 0 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

DAL: 66.3%

STL: 33.7%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.48

STL: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	25	25	0	100.0%	1.14	0	1.14
STL	Jordan Binnington	34	33	1	97.1%	3.69	2	2.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs STL: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	DAL 5 - 4 STL	DAL	DAL
2026-01-27	STL 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	STL
2026-01-23	DAL 3 - 2 STL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-18	STL 3 - 1 DAL	STL	STL
2025-03-02	DAL 6 - 3 STL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	17	1	1.42
1	STL	12	0	0.37
2	DAL	15	0	1.00
2	STL	9	0	0.37
3	DAL	17	1	1.26
3	STL	11	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 1 - 0 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.5 - 2.6