San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2023-04-13 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 69.9%
SJS: 30.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.96
SJS: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 7.1
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA
SJS
J. Reimer
| Stat | EDM | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.81 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | Stuart Skinner | 29 | 27 | 2 | 93.1% | 3.12 | 0 | 1.12 |
| SJS | J. Reimer | 36 | 31 | 5 | 86.1% | 4.45 | 3 | -0.55 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • EDM at home vs SJS: 9-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | SJS 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | SJS |
| 2026-03-17 | EDM 5 - 3 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-02-28 | SJS 5 - 4 EDM | SJS | EDM |
| 2026-01-29 | EDM 4 - 3 SJS | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-16 | SJS 0 - 3 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 13 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 1 | SJS | 15 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 2 | EDM | 10 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 2 | SJS | 16 | 0 | 1.43 |
| 3 | EDM | 22 | 1 | 2.13 |
| 3 | SJS | 8 | 0 | 0.54 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 69.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 4.0 - 2.5
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