Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

COL: 52.5%

WPG: 47.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.09

WPG: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

WPG

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	20	18	2	90.0%	1.64	1	-0.36
WPG	D. Rittich	25	21	4	84.0%	2.50	1	-1.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • COL at home vs WPG: 7-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	10	0	0.33
1	WPG	8	0	0.29
2	COL	12	0	0.94
2	WPG	11	0	0.64
3	COL	10	1	1.24
3	WPG	10	1	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1