Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2023-04-13 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

ANA: 33.2%

LAK: 66.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.21

LAK: 3.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

LAK

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	36	31	5	86.1%	3.66	1	-1.34
LAK	J. Korpisalo	24	21	3	87.5%	1.45	0	-1.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • ANA at home vs LAK: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	ANA 2 - 1 LAK	ANA	ANA
2026-01-16	LAK 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	LAK
2025-12-27	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK
2025-11-28	ANA 5 - 4 LAK	ANA	ANA
2025-04-10	LAK 6 - 1 ANA	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	15	0	0.58
1	LAK	15	0	0.91
2	ANA	5	0	0.27
2	LAK	21	0	1.38
3	ANA	8	0	0.60
3	LAK	12	1	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.2 - 3.5