Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-04-23 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 55.9%

BOS: 44.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.03

BOS: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	25	6	80.6%	5.17	4	-0.83
BOS	L. Ullmark	44	42	2	95.5%	2.80	1	0.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs BOS: 8-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	17	0	0.76
1	BOS	15	1	1.38
2	FLA	13	0	0.50
2	BOS	12	0	0.85
3	FLA	22	1	1.53
3	BOS	16	3	2.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 6 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1