Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2023-04-21 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYI: 65.6%

CAR: 34.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.25

CAR: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	31	30	1	96.8%	2.13	0	1.13
CAR	A. Raanta	37	32	5	86.5%	4.30	2	-0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYI at home vs CAR: 4-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	1	0.71
1	CAR	17	0	0.99
2	NYI	20	0	1.30
2	CAR	12	0	0.79
3	NYI	21	1	2.28
3	CAR	9	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9