Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2023-04-23 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 59.1%

CAR: 40.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.55

CAR: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	24	5	82.8%	2.49	3	-2.51
CAR	A. Raanta	29	27	2	93.1%	2.04	0	0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYI at home vs CAR: 4-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	12	0	0.87
1	CAR	7	2	0.70
2	NYI	12	0	0.56
2	CAR	18	1	1.02
3	NYI	12	0	0.61
3	CAR	12	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0