New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-04-25 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 60.2%

NYI: 39.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.61

NYI: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

A. Raanta

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	22	19	3	86.4%	1.69	0	-1.31
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	36	34	2	94.4%	3.27	2	1.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYI: 11-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	15	1	1.02
1	NYI	12	0	0.47
2	CAR	20	0	1.21
2	NYI	16	0	0.92
3	CAR	20	1	1.04
3	NYI	9	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9