Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2023-04-28 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

NYI: 49.8%

CAR: 50.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.13

CAR: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	41	39	2	95.1%	2.86	1	0.86
CAR	Frederik Andersen	34	33	1	97.1%	2.83	2	1.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYI at home vs CAR: 4-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	1	1.10
1	CAR	11	0	0.41
2	NYI	20	1	1.38
2	CAR	18	0	0.95
3	NYI	7	0	0.23
3	CAR	22	1	1.43
4	NYI	5	0	0.13
4	CAR	4	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4