New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-04-20 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 65.9%

NYR: 34.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.80

NYR: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 52%

NJD

V. Vanecek

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	V. Vanecek	30	25	5	83.3%	3.77	2	-1.23
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	24	23	1	95.8%	2.19	1	1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NJD at home vs NYR: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	0.86
1	NYR	20	1	1.27
2	NJD	11	0	0.33
2	NYR	16	0	1.26
3	NJD	19	0	1.00
3	NYR	14	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8