New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2023-04-22 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils (OT)

Win Probability

NYR: 30.3%

NJD: 69.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.37

NJD: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 54%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

A. Schmid

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	28	26	2	92.9%	3.42	2	1.42
NJD	A. Schmid	36	35	1	97.2%	3.77	2	2.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYR at home vs NJD: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	12	1	0.93
1	NJD	19	1	1.42
2	NYR	17	0	1.28
2	NJD	8	0	0.51
3	NYR	13	1	0.82
3	NJD	7	1	0.83
4	NYR	10	0	0.74
4	NJD	8	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.4 - 3.4