New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2023-04-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NJD: 65.0%

NYR: 35.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.61

NYR: 2.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 53%

NJD

A. Schmid

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Schmid	23	23	0	100.0%	1.45	0	1.45
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	43	39	4	90.7%	4.90	4	0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NJD at home vs NYR: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	0.94
1	NYR	10	0	0.32
2	NJD	13	1	1.37
2	NYR	17	0	1.00
3	NJD	23	3	2.59
3	NYR	6	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.5