Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2023-04-18 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 53.1%

SEA: 46.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.90

SEA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 50%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	30	27	3	90.0%	2.37	0	-0.63
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	35	34	1	97.1%	3.06	2	2.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • COL at home vs SEA: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	11	1	0.62
1	SEA	20	0	1.08
2	COL	17	1	1.39
2	SEA	16	0	0.82
3	COL	22	0	1.06
3	SEA	8	0	0.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9