Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2023-04-20 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

COL: 55.7%

SEA: 44.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.33

SEA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	29	27	2	93.1%	1.92	1	-0.08
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	41	38	3	92.7%	3.04	1	0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • COL at home vs SEA: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	13	0	0.55
1	SEA	14	1	0.93
2	COL	21	0	1.19
2	SEA	14	0	0.65
3	COL	22	1	1.29
3	SEA	8	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0