Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-04-22 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

SEA: 48.1%

COL: 51.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.14

COL: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	34	28	6	82.4%	4.44	5	-1.56
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	29	25	4	86.2%	2.06	1	-1.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • SEA at home vs COL: 2-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	0	0.57
1	COL	18	2	1.69
2	SEA	12	1	0.84
2	COL	20	1	1.39
3	SEA	17	0	0.65
3	COL	10	2	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2