Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2023-04-24 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 48.1%

COL: 51.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.06

COL: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	22	20	2	90.9%	2.25	0	0.25
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	43	40	3	93.0%	3.29	0	0.29

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • SEA at home vs COL: 2-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	SEA	21	1.54
1	COL	9	0.79
2	SEA	17	0.87
2	COL	11	0.74
3	SEA	13	0.50
3	COL	11	0.55
4	SEA	4	0.38
4	COL	2	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3