Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2023-05-15 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

DAL: 50.9%

SEA: 49.1%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.59

SEA: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	23	22	1	95.7%	1.85	0	0.85
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	28	26	2	92.9%	4.14	3	2.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • DAL at home vs SEA: 10-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	16	0	1.10
1	SEA	12	0	0.60
2	DAL	23	1	1.67
2	SEA	10	0	0.59
3	DAL	11	2	1.37
3	SEA	15	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1