Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2023-05-18 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Florida Panthers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 57.5%

FLA: 42.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.41

FLA: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	60	57	3	95.0%	4.75	3	1.75
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	65	63	2	96.9%	5.66	1	3.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • CAR at home vs FLA: 4-10

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	20	0	1.50
1	FLA	13	1	1.17
2	CAR	9	0	0.38
2	FLA	10	0	0.40
3	CAR	17	1	1.27
3	FLA	2	0	0.03
4	CAR	14	0	0.63
4	FLA	10	1	0.64
5	CAR	17	0	0.62
5	FLA	16	0	0.53
6	CAR	13	0	0.40
6	FLA	16	0	0.77
7	CAR	17	0	0.88
7	FLA	20	1	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1