Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-05-22 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

FLA: 51.1%

CAR: 48.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.33

CAR: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	32	32	0	100.0%	2.34	0	2.34
CAR	Frederik Andersen	17	16	1	94.1%	2.03	0	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • FLA at home vs CAR: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	FLA	14	0.91
1	CAR	13	0.72
2	FLA	11	0.87
2	CAR	18	0.99
3	FLA	3	0.25
3	CAR	12	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0