Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2023-05-24 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

FLA: 58.7%

CAR: 41.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.93

CAR: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	39	36	3	92.3%	3.39	2	0.39
CAR	Frederik Andersen	24	20	4	83.3%	3.98	2	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 48% • FLA at home vs CAR: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	CAR 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	CAR
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	1	1.09
1	CAR	11	0	0.54
2	FLA	17	1	1.93
2	CAR	23	2	2.10
3	FLA	11	0	0.96
3	CAR	16	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.9 - 2.8