Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-01-02 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 58.4%

CGY: 41.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.20

CGY: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MIN at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	1.09
1	CGY	19	0	0.92
2	MIN	10	0	0.69
2	CGY	15	0	0.73
3	MIN	20	0	1.24
3	CGY	14	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1