Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-01-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

VAN: 55.4%

OTT: 44.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.60

OTT: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 35%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	VAN 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-13	OTT 2 - 1 VAN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-21	VAN 4 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-23	OTT 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	OTT
2024-01-02	VAN 6 - 3 OTT	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	21	2	2.20
1	OTT	10	0	0.29
2	VAN	11	1	0.72
2	OTT	15	0	0.94
3	VAN	7	0	0.42
3	OTT	20	2	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2