New York Islanders at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-01-04 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 5 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 55.4%

NYI: 44.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.24

NYI: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ARI at home vs NYI: 0-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-04	ARI 1 - 5 NYI	NYI	ARI
2023-10-17	NYI 1 - 0 ARI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	11	1	0.76
1	NYI	13	1	0.72
2	ARI	18	0	0.99
2	NYI	11	0	0.77
3	ARI	9	1	0.67
3	NYI	17	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 1 - 5 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7