Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-01-05 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 50.2%

CAR: 49.8%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.88

CAR: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WSH at home vs CAR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	9	0	0.37
1	CAR	20	0	1.04
2	WSH	6	0	0.36
2	CAR	12	1	0.63
3	WSH	12	0	0.52
3	CAR	25	2	2.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1