Vancouver Canucks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-01-08 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 52.3%

VAN: 47.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.74

VAN: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	NYR
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	NYR
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-08	NYR 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	1	1.33
1	VAN	13	1	0.91
2	NYR	19	0	1.14
2	VAN	17	0	1.05
3	NYR	18	0	0.82
3	VAN	8	2	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.7 - 2.9