Seattle Kraken at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-01-09 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

BUF: 46.1%

SEA: 53.9%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.93

SEA: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	BUF 3 - 2 SEA	BUF	BUF
2025-12-14	SEA 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-20	SEA 6 - 4 BUF	SEA	BUF
2025-01-11	BUF 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	BUF
2024-03-18	SEA 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	22	0	1.35
1	SEA	18	1	1.39
2	BUF	14	0	0.62
2	SEA	10	0	0.41
3	BUF	16	0	0.62
3	SEA	8	0	0.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1